Les statistiques sont souvent mal comprises / Insufficient understanding of statistics is widespread

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Les statistiques sont souvent mal comprises / Insufficient understanding of statistics is widespread

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/oct/26/statistical-illiteracy-pandemic-numbers-interpret

https://www.courrierinternational.com/article/mathematiques-nayons-pas-peur-des-statistiques

The current pandemic has forced us all to engage in probabilistic reasoning, from governments having to recommend behaviour on the basis of statistical predictions, to people estimating the probability of catching the virus while taking part in common activities.  […]
This lack of familiarity with statistics leads many to confuse probability with imprecision.  […]
In the 1930s, the philosopher and mathematician Bruno de Finetti introduced an idea that proved to be the key to understanding probability: probability does not refer to the system as such (the dice, the decaying atom, tomorrow’s weather), but to the knowledge that I have about this system. If I claim that the probability of rain tomorrow is high, I am characterising my own degree of ignorance of the state of the atmosphere. […]
lack of complete knowledge does not mean that we know nothing, and statistics is the powerful tool that guides us when we do not have complete knowledge, which is to say: virtually always.